Do you want to cut across the water? If so, then the rout is about 40 degrees right of the line of the teepad. There is a line between two taller trees that you should be able to see. The distance to clear the lake is less than the distance that the tee sign shows, probably in the 375-400' range.

If the risk of going over water isn't one you would like to take, then a straight throw of about 320' will put you in line with the basket and leave a clear upshot to it. Just make sure that your drive doesn't land in such a way that it will roll down the hill and into the drink