2017 Prediction Contest - Ledgestone

[Tim_the_Enchanter]

Wysocki
McBeth
Anthon
Nybo

Pierce
Jenkins

Anthon
Matt Bell 12th
6 strokes

 

[Ben17]

McBeth
Wysocki
Colglazier
Leiviska

Pierce
Jenkins

Anthon
Isaac Robinson - 12th
6 strokes

 

[discguy42]

MPO:

Ricky Wysocki
Paul McBeth
Cam Colglazier
Cale Leiviska

FPO:

Paige Pierce
Val Jenkins

B1-?
B2-?
B3- 5 strokes

 

[discallday]

Based on ratings:

Interesting. Are these ratings-based probabilities coming from the past year event data, past ledgstone events, or some other data set? And I know ratings are rounded to the nearest integer (or are they rounded up?), but it looks like you are using unrounded ratings because the three players rated 1028 have slightly different chances of winning. Same for 1030 rated players.

 

[discallday]

MPO
R. Wysocki
P. McBeth
C. Colglazier (1019)
G. Barsby (1014)

FPO
P. Pierce
C. Allen

B1 - McSocki
B2 - Cam Messerschmidt, 18th place
B3 - 7 strokes