Keep to the right of the island on a rhbh throw, it will leave you near the pin.

"Lake" marked by logs in front of basket area plays as OB. Lots of otherwise good drives find one of the trees at the edges of this area and end up "in the drink". Safest route that still offers a legitimate birdie opportunity is a RHBH hyzer shot (or equivalent) to the right of the lake, finishing by the basket, but overthrowing or missing your line to the right can put you deep in nasty rough, complete with thorns, etc. Tree directly to the left of the black pad definitely gets in your head if you let it.