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2016 Prediction Contest - Tim Selinski Masters

discallday

Birdie Member
Joined
Oct 31, 2008
Messages
268
My first thought was: where are all the familiar names? Where's Climo, Barry, JohnE, Todd, the Readings, King, Stokely, and I'm probably still forgetting some…
But if you look deep enough, anything can be somewhat amusing. For instance, there's a 971-rated bagger playing in advanced masters. I guess he'd rather win a Major than bring home some cash. As I've never won a major, I won't claim to be above that kind of thinking. I hope he wins.

So this will definitely be a bit different, but I hope it still works to some degree. Play begins September 9, so get 'em in before then.

Male Pros(#1-9) and Ams (#10-11)
1. Will Patrick Brown take first (3)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+2)
2. How many players in the top 20 Masters will not be from California (3)?
3. Who will take first in the Grandmasters' division (1)?
4. How many players in the top 20 Grandmasters will not be from California (2)?
5. Will Kazuo Shirai win Sr. GM (1)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+1)
6. How many players in the top 10 Sr. GM will not be from California (2)?
7. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will shoot the highest rated round (1)?
8. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will have the lowest total score (1)?
9. What will be the highest rated round shot by the men (4)? Who will shoot it (1)?
10. Will Schuyler Raine-Mustain win Adv. Masters (1)? If you guess not, pick who will (+1)
11. Will Alan Cosseboom win Adv. Legends (1)? If you guess not, pick who will (+1)

Female Pros and Ams
1. Will Berlogar win (3)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+2)
2. Will Naoyo Yoshida win Adv. Masters (1)? If you guess not, pick who you think will (+1)
3. What will be the highest rated round shot by the ladies (4)? Who will shoot it (1)?

Further questions*
1. What will be the lowest rated round of the tournament (4)?
2. What will be the largest difference between a given player's rating, and an extreme round rating achieved by the same player (4)? For instance, if a player is rated 900, and their worst round rating is 700, this is a difference of 200. If they were to shoot an 1100 round, this would also be a 200.

*I'm not encouraging ridicule (not that anyone would be tempted to act on such encouragement here). Rather, we've all had awful rounds. Completing such a round ought to serve as a testament to a player's commitment to the game (unless it's an 888, which doesn't get a rating anyway).

http://www.pdga.com/tour/event/24689
 
1. Will Patrick Brown take first (3)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+2) Yes
2. How many players in the top 20 Masters will not be from California (3)? 2
3. Who will take first in the Grandmasters' division (1)? Jim Oates
4. How many players in the top 20 Grandmasters will not be from California (2)? 3
5. Will Kazuo Shirai win Sr. GM (1)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+1) No. Jim Schultz
6. How many players in the top 10 Sr. GM will not be from California (2)? 7
7. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will shoot the highest rated round (1)? Raymond Carr
8. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will have the lowest total score (1)? Raymond Carr
9. What will be the highest rated round shot by the men (4)? Who will shoot it (1)? 1035. Patrick Brown
10. Will Schuyler Raine-Mustain win Adv. Masters (1)? If you guess not, pick who will (+1) Yes
11. Will Alan Cosseboom win Adv. Legends (1)? If you guess not, pick who will (+1) Yes

Female Pros and Ams
1. Will Berlogar win (3)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+2) No. Anni Kermi
2. Will Naoyo Yoshida win Adv. Masters (1)? If you guess not, pick who you think will (+1) no. MC Israel
3. What will be the highest rated round shot by the ladies (4)? Who will shoot it (1)? 930. Carrie Berlogar

Further questions*
1. What will be the lowest rated round of the tournament (4)? 600
2. What will be the largest difference between a given player's rating, and an extreme round rating achieved by the same player (4)? 93
 
Male Pros(#1-9) and Ams (#10-11)
1. Will Patrick Brown take first (3)? YES
2. How many players in the top 20 Masters will not be from California (3)? 1
3. Who will take first in the Grandmasters' division (1)? Mike Ward
4. How many players in the top 20 Grandmasters will not be from California (2)?2
5. Will Kazuo Shirai win Sr. GM (1)? YES
6. How many players in the top 10 Sr. GM will not be from California (2)? 6
7. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will shoot the highest rated round (1)?Ray Carr
8. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will have the lowest total score (1)?Ray Carr
9. What will be the highest rated round shot by the men (4)? Who will shoot it (1)? 1042, Pat Brown
10. Will Schuyler Raine-Mustain win Adv. Masters (1)? Yep
11. Will Alan Cosseboom win Adv. Legends (1)? Yep

Female Pros and Ams
1. Will Berlogar win (3)? No; Staci Pauly
2. Will Naoyo Yoshida win Adv. Masters (1)? No; M.C. Israel
3. What will be the highest rated round shot by the ladies (4)? 927; Staci Pauly

Further questions*
1. What will be the lowest rated round of the tournament (4)? 643
2. What will be the largest difference between a given player's rating, and an extreme round rating achieved by the same player (4)? 100
 
Male Pros(#1-9) and Ams (#10-11)
1. Will Patrick Brown take first (3)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+2)
A. No, John Baldwin

2. How many players in the top 20 Masters will not be from California (3)?
A. 0

3. Who will take first in the Grandmasters' division (1)?
A. Jim Oates

4. How many players in the top 20 Grandmasters will not be from California (2)?
A. 2

5. Will Kazuo Shirai win Sr. GM (1)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+1)
A. yes

6. How many players in the top 10 Sr. GM will not be from California (2)?
A. 6

7. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will shoot the highest rated round (1)?
A. Fisher

8. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will have the lowest total score (1)?
A. Fisher

9. What will be the highest rated round shot by the men (4)? Who will shoot it (1)?
A. 1048, John Baldwin

10. Will Schuyler Raine-Mustain win Adv. Masters (1)? If you guess not, pick who will (+1)
A. Yes

11. Will Alan Cosseboom win Adv. Legends (1)? If you guess not, pick who will (+1)
A. Yes


Female Pros and Ams
1. Will Berlogar win (3)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+2)
A. Yes

2. Will Naoyo Yoshida win Adv. Masters (1)? If you guess not, pick who you think will (+1)
A. No, M.C. Israel

3. What will be the highest rated round shot by the ladies (4)? Who will shoot it (1)?
A. 938 Berlogar


Further questions*
1. What will be the lowest rated round of the tournament (4)?
A. 611

2. What will be the largest difference between a given player's rating, and an extreme round rating achieved by the same player (4)? For instance, if a player is rated 900, and their worst round rating is 700, this is a difference of 200. If they were to shoot an 1100 round, this would also be a 200.
A. 97
 
Male Pros(#1-9) and Ams (#10-11)
1. Will Patrick Brown take first (3)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+2) Yes
2. How many players in the top 20 Masters will not be from California (3)? 1
3. Who will take first in the Grandmasters' division (1)? Oates
4. How many players in the top 20 Grandmasters will not be from California (2)? 3
5. Will Kazuo Shirai win Sr. GM (1)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+1) Yes
6. How many players in the top 10 Sr. GM will not be from California (2)? 6
7. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will shoot the highest rated round (1)? Raymond Carr
8. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will have the lowest total score (1)? Raymond Carr
9. What will be the highest rated round shot by the men (4)? Who will shoot it (1)? 1048, Patrick Brown
10. Will Schuyler Raine-Mustain win Adv. Masters (1)? If you guess not, pick who will (+1) Yes
11. Will Alan Cosseboom win Adv. Legends (1)? If you guess not, pick who will (+1) Yes

Female Pros and Ams
1. Will Berlogar win (3)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+2) No, Pauly
2. Will Naoyo Yoshida win Adv. Masters (1)? If you guess not, pick who you think will (+1) No, MC Israel
3. What will be the highest rated round shot by the ladies (4)? Who will shoot it (1)? 949, Anni Kreml

Further questions*
1. What will be the lowest rated round of the tournament (4)? 641
2. What will be the largest difference between a given player's rating, and an extreme round rating achieved by the same player (4)? For instance, if a player is rated 900, and their worst round rating is 700, this is a difference of 200. If they were to shoot an 1100 round, this would also be a 200. 135
 
Male Pros(#1-9) and Ams (#10-11)
1. Will Patrick Brown take first (3)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+2) Yes
2. How many players in the top 20 Masters will not be from California (3)? 1
3. Who will take first in the Grandmasters' division (1)?Oates
4. How many players in the top 20 Grandmasters will not be from California (2)? 3
5. Will Kazuo Shirai win Sr. GM (1)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+1) Yes
6. How many players in the top 10 Sr. GM will not be from California (2)? 6
7. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will shoot the highest rated round (1)? Raymond Carr
8. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will have the lowest total score (1)? Raymond Carr
9. What will be the highest rated round shot by the men (4)? Who will shoot it (1)? 1048, Patrick Brown
10. Will Schuyler Raine-Mustain win Adv. Masters (1)? If you guess not, pick who will (+1) Yes
11. Will Alan Cosseboom win Adv. Legends (1)? If you guess not, pick who will (+1) Yes

Female Pros and Ams
1. Will Berlogar win (3)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+2) No, Pauly
2. Will Naoyo Yoshida win Adv. Masters (1)? If you guess not, pick who you think will (+1) No, MC Israel
3. What will be the highest rated round shot by the ladies (4)? Who will shoot it (1)? 949, Anni Kreml
Further questions*
1. What will be the lowest rated round of the tournament (4)? 641
2. What will be the largest difference between a given player's rating, and an extreme round rating achieved by the same player (4)? For instance, if a player is rated 900, and their worst round rating is 700, this is a difference of 200. If they were to shoot an 1100 round, this would also be a 200. 135
 
1. Will Patrick Brown take first (3)? YES
2. How many players in the top 20 Masters will not be from California (3)? 3
3. Who will take first in the Grandmasters' division (1)? Mike Ward
4. How many players in the top 20 Grandmasters will not be from California (4)? 3
5. Will Kazuo Shirai win Sr. GM (1)? nope
6. How many players in the top 10 Sr. GM will not be from California (2)? 2
7. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will shoot the highest rated round (1)?Ray Carr
8. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will have the lowest total score (1)?Ray Carr
9. What will be the highest rated round shot by the men (4)? Who will shoot it (1)? 1060, Pat Brown
10. Will Schuyler Raine-Mustain win Adv. Masters (1)? No
11. Will Alan Cosseboom win Adv. Legends (1)? Yes

Female Pros and Ams
1. Will Berlogar win (3)? Yes
2. Will Naoyo Yoshida win Adv. Masters (1)? Yes
3. What will be the highest rated round shot by the ladies (4)? 914 Carrie Berlogar

Further questions*
1. What will be the lowest rated round of the tournament (4)? 628
2. What will be the largest difference between a given player's rating, and an extreme round rating achieved by the same player (4)? 69
 
Male Pros(#1-9) and Ams (#10-11)
1. Will Patrick Brown take first (3)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+2)
Yes.

2. How many players in the top 20 Masters will not be from California (3)? 16


3. Who will take first in the Grandmasters' division (1)? Mike Ward

4. How many players in the top 20 Grandmasters will not be from California (2)? 2

5. Will Kazuo Shirai win Sr. GM (1)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+1)
Yes

6. How many players in the top 10 Sr. GM will not be from California (2)? 5

7. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will shoot the highest rated round (1)?
Raymond Carr

8. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will have the lowest total score (1)?
Barry Fischer

9. What will be the highest rated round shot by the men (4)? Who will shoot it (1)?
1037, Patrick Brown

10. Will Schuyler Raine-Mustain win Adv. Masters (1)? If you guess not, pick who will (+1)
Yes

11. Will Alan Cosseboom win Adv. Legends (1)? If you guess not, pick who will (+1)Yes

Female Pros and Ams
1. Will Berlogar win (3)? No If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+2) Stacy Pauly

2. Will Naoyo Yoshida win Adv. Masters (1)? No If you guess not, pick who you think will (+1)
M.C Israel

3. What will be the highest rated round shot by the ladies (4)? Who will shoot it (1)?
930, Stacy Pauly

Further questions*
1. What will be the lowest rated round of the tournament (4)? 742

2. What will be the largest difference between a given player's rating, and an extreme round rating achieved by the same player (4)? 286 points
 
Last edited:
Masters:
1. Robert R. Bainbridge
2. Shasta Criss
3. Jason Tyra
4. Jason Olcese
 
Male Pros (#1-9) & Ams (#10-11)
1. Will Patrick Brown take first (3)? YES
2. How many players in the top 20 Masters will not be from California (3)? 3
3. Who will take first in the Grandmasters' division (1)? Jim Oates
4. How many players in the top 20 Grandmasters will not be from California (2)? 3
5. Will Kazuo Shirai win Sr. GM (1)? YES
6. How many players in the top 10 Sr. GM will not be from California (2)? 5
7. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will shoot the highest rated round (1)? Raymond Carr
8. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will have the lowest total score (1)? Raymond Carr
9. What will be the highest rated round shot by the men (4)? 1028 Who will shoot it (1)? Patrick Brown
10. Will Schuyler Raine-Mustain win Adv. Masters (1)? YES
11. Will Alan Cosseboom win Adv. Legends (1)? YES

Female Pros and Ams
1. Will Berlogar win (3)? NO If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+2) Anni Kreml
2. Will Naoyo Yoshida win Adv. Masters (1)? YES
3. What will be the highest rated round shot by the ladies (4)? 957 Who will shoot it (1)? Carrie Berlogar

Further questions*
1. What will be the lowest rated round of the tournament (4)? 714
2. What will be the largest difference between a given player's rating, and an extreme round rating achieved by the same player (4)? 212
 
Mens

1. Yes - PB will win
2. 1 not from Cali
3. Kenny Lee
4. 3 not from Cali
5. Yes for Kazuo Shirai
6. 7 not from Cali
7. Raymond Carr
8. Raymond Carr
9. Patrick Brown - 1042
10. Yes
11. Yes

Female Pros and Ams

1. No, Anni Kreml will get it
2. Yes
3. 945 - Anni Kreml

Further questions

1. 680
2. 170
 
Mens

1. Yes - PB will win
2. 1 not from Cali
3. Kenny Lee
4. 3 not from Cali
5. Yes for Kazuo Shirai
6. 7 not from Cali
7. Raymond Carr
8. Raymond Carr
9. Patrick Brown - 1042
10. Yes
11. Yes

Female Pros and Am

1. No, Anni Kreml will get it
2. Yes
3. 945 - Anni Kreml

Further questions

1. 680
2. 170

Thanks for the vote of confidence, Hyzer Ale!
 
Male Pros(#1-9) and Ams (#10-11)

1. Will Patrick Brown take first (3)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+2)
No: Schultz, Climo. McCray
Yes

2. How many players in the top 20 Masters will not be from California (3)?
3

3. Who will take first in the Grandmasters' division (1)?
Oates

4. How many players in the top 20 Grandmasters will not be from California (2)?
3

5. Will Kazuo Shirai win Sr. GM (1)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+1)
Yes

6. How many players in the top 10 Sr. GM will not be from California (2)?
6

7. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will shoot the highest rated round (1)?
Fischer

8. Which of the Legends (normal, senior, or grand) will have the lowest total score (1)?
Fischer

9. What will be the highest rated round shot by the men (4)? Who will shoot it (1)?
1054 by Olcese

10. Will Schuyler Raine-Mustain win Adv. Masters (1)? If you guess not, pick who will (+1)
Yes

11. Will Alan Cosseboom win Adv. Legends (1)? If you guess not, pick who will (+1)
Yes

Female Pros and Ams
1. Will Berlogar win (3)? If you guess not, then pick who you think will (+2)
No, Kremi

2. Will Naoyo Yoshida win Adv. Masters (1)? If you guess not, pick who you think will (+1)
No, Israel

3. What will be the highest rated round shot by the ladies (4)? Who will shoot it (1)?
947 by Berlogar

Further questions*
1. What will be the lowest rated round of the tournament (4)?
637

2. What will be the largest difference between a given player's rating, and an extreme round rating achieved by the same player (4)? For instance, if a player is rated 900, and their worst round rating is 700, this is a difference of 200. If they were to shoot an 1100 round, this would also be a 200.
173
 
If anybody wants to ask about their scoring for some of the "how many" questions, feel free. If you were close, I typically gave partial points.

Amazingly, three of the masters women each shot a 930 rated round.

The lowest rated round that I saw was 616; and the greatest difference between rating and round rating was 117 (in advanced masters).

And since the highest score (20, by peabody) was the lowest we've seen in all the rounds, I doctored the totals (multiplied by 1.1) so that the highest score (22) matched the previous lowest high score from previous rounds.

I'm posting updated totals to the main thread.
 

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